{"id":5649,"date":"2022-01-25T07:53:20","date_gmt":"2022-01-25T07:53:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/support.divominer.com\/zh-tw\/articles\/docs\/divominer-%e4%bd%bf%e7%94%a8%e6%89%8b%e5%86%8a\/%e9%ab%98%e7%b4%9a%e7%b5%b1%e8%a8%88\/%e7%b7%9a%e6%80%a7%e5%9b%9e%e6%ad%b8"},"modified":"2022-05-26T02:51:39","modified_gmt":"2022-05-26T10:51:39","slug":"%e7%b7%9a%e6%80%a7%e8%bf%b4%e6%ad%b8","status":"publish","type":"docs","link":"https:\/\/support.divominer.com\/zh-tw\/articles\/docs\/divominer-%e4%bd%bf%e7%94%a8%e6%89%8b%e5%86%8a\/%e9%ab%98%e7%b4%9a%e7%b5%b1%e8%a8%88\/%e7%b7%9a%e6%80%a7%e8%bf%b4%e6%ad%b8","title":{"rendered":"\u7dda\u6027\u8ff4\u6b78"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

\u4e00\u3001<\/strong>\u6982\u8981<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u7dda\u6027\u8ff4\u6b78\u7528\u65bc\u78ba\u5b9a\u5169\u7a2e\u6216\u5169\u7a2e\u4ee5\u4e0a\u8b8a\u6578\u9593\u76f8\u4e92\u4f9d\u8cf4\u7684\u5b9a\u91cf\u95dc\u4fc2\uff0c\u53ea\u6709\u4e00\u500b\u81ea\u8b8a\u6578\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u7a31\u70ba\u55ae\u5143\u7dda\u6027\u8ff4\u6b78\uff0c\u5927\u65bc\u4e00\u500b\u81ea\u8b8a\u6578\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u7a31\u70ba\u591a\u5143\u7dda\u6027\u8ff4\u6b78\u3002\u7dda\u6027\u8ff4\u6b78\u901a\u5e38\u7528\u65bc\u9810\u6e2c\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u5ee3\u6cdb\u61c9\u7528\u5728\u7d93\u6fdf\u3001\u91ab\u5b78\u548c\u5de5\u696d\u7b49\u9818\u57df\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4e8c\u3001<\/strong>\u8a73\u7d30\u4ecb\u7d39<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uff08\u4e00\uff09\u6a21\u578b\u4ecb\u7d39<\/p>\n\n\n\n

1.\u8ff4\u6b78\u5206\u6790\u65b9\u6cd5<\/p>\n\n\n\n

(1)\u7d71\u8a08\u5b78\u4e0a\uff0c\u7528\u4e00\u500b\u51fd\u6578\u95dc\u4fc2\u5f0f\u5c07\u4f9d\u8b8a\u6578\u96a8\u81ea\u8b8a\u6578\u8b8a\u5316\u800c\u8b8a\u5316\u7684\u95dc\u4fc2\u5448\u73fe\u51fa\u4f86\uff0c\u4e26\u7a31\u5176\u70ba\u8ff4\u6b78\u65b9\u7a0b\u5f0f(\u5c0d\u6a23\u672c\u800c\u8a00)\u6216\u8ff4\u6b78\u6a21\u578b(\u5c0d\u7e3d\u9ad4\u800c\u8a00) \u3002\u8ff4\u6b78\u5206\u6790\u901a\u5e38\u5305\u62ec\u69cb\u5efa\u8ff4\u6b78\u65b9\u7a0b\u5f0f\u3001\u5c0d\u5176\u8ff4\u6b78\u4fc2\u6578\u9032\u884c\u5047\u8a2d\u6aa2\u9a57\u548c\u5340\u9593\u4f30\u8a08(\u5373\u7531\u6a23\u672c\u53bb\u63a8\u8ad6\u7e3d\u9ad4\u7684\u898f\u5f8b\uff0c\u5728\u672c\u8cea\u4e0a\u662f\u5e0c\u671b\u5f97\u5230\u6216\u63a5\u8fd1\u8ff4\u6b78\u6a21\u578b) \uff0c\u6700\u7d42\u76ee\u7684\u662f\u5728\u7d66\u5b9a\u81ea\u8b8a\u6578\u7684\u503c\u7684\u689d\u4ef6\u4e0b\uff0c\u9810\u6e2c\u4f9d\u8b8a\u6578\u7684\u503c; \u5c11\u6578\u60c5\u5883\u4e0b\uff0c\u6703\u7d66\u5b9a\u4f9d\u8b8a\u6578\u7684\u503c\uff0c\u628a\u63e1\u81ea\u8b8a\u6578\u7684\u503c\u5340\u9593(\u5373\u7528\u65bc\u63a7\u5236) \u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

(2)\u8ff4\u6b78\u5206\u6790\u6309\u6d89\u53ca\u81ea\u8b8a\u6578\u7684\u591a\u5c11\uff0c\u5206\u70ba\u55ae\u5143\u8ff4\u6b78\u548c\u591a\u5143\u8ff4\u6b78\u3002\u6309\u7167\u4f9d\u8b8a\u6578\u7684\u985e\u578b\uff0c\u53ef\u5206\u70ba\u7dda\u6027\u8ff4\u6b78\u5206\u6790\u548c\u975e\u7dda\u6027\u8ff4\u6b78\u5206\u6790\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

2.\u516c\u5f0f<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4f9d\u8b8a\u6578\uff08Y\uff09\u548c\u4e00\u500b\u6216\u591a\u500b\u81ea\u8b8a\u6578\uff08X\uff09\u4e4b\u9593\u5efa\u7acb\u7684\u4e00\u7a2e\u8ff4\u6b78\u65b9\u7a0b\u5f0f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4e00\u5143\u8ff4\u6b78\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u591a\u5143\u8ff4\u6b78\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

3. \u6307\u6a19\u8aaa\u660e<\/p>\n\n\n\n

R\u5e73\u65b9\uff1a \u5224\u5b9a\u4fc2\u6578\uff0c\u7528\u65bc\u8861\u91cf\u8ff4\u6b78\u6a21\u578b\u5c0d\u6a23\u672c\u89c0\u5bdf\u503c\u7684\u914d\u9069\u5ea6\uff0c\u6578\u503c\u7bc4\u570d\u70ba0-1\uff0c\u503c\u8d8a\u63a5\u8fd11\uff0c\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u914d\u9069\u5ea6\u8d8a\u9ad8\u3002 <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u8abf\u6574\u5f8cR\u5e73\u65b9\uff1a\u4fee\u6b63\u81ea\u7531\u5ea6\u7684\u5224\u5b9a\u4fc2\u6578\uff0c\u7528\u65bc\u8861\u91cf\u8ff4\u6b78\u6a21\u578b\u5c0d\u6a23\u672c\u89c0\u6e2c\u503c\u7684\u914d\u9069\u5ea6\uff0c\u6578\u503c\u7bc4\u570d\u70ba0-1\uff0c\u6578\u503c\u8d8a\u63a5\u8fd11\uff0c\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u914d\u9069\u5ea6\u8d8a\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

F\uff1aF\u503c\u7528\u65bc\u5224\u5b9a\u6a21\u578b\u4e2d\u4f9d\u8b8a\u6578\u8207\u6240\u6709\u81ea\u8b8a\u6578\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u7dda\u6027\u95dc\u4fc2\u5728\u7e3d\u9ad4\u4e0a\u662f\u5426\u986f\u8457\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

AIC\uff1aAIC\u662f\u6b0a\u8861\u4f30\u8a08\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u8907\u96dc\u5ea6\u548c\u6a21\u578b\u64ec\u5408\u8cc7\u6599\u512a\u826f\u6027\u7684\u6a19\u6e96\uff0c\u7528\u65bc\u6a21\u578b\u9078\u64c7\uff0c\u901a\u5e38\u9078\u64c7AIC\u6700\u5c0f\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

BIC\uff1a\u8c9d\u6c0f\u8a0a\u606f\u6e96\u5247\u8207AIC\u76f8\u4f3c\uff0c\u7528\u65bc\u6a21\u578b\u9078\u64c7\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

B: \u6a21\u578b\u7684\u8ff4\u6b78\u4fc2\u6578\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u622a\u8ddd\u548c\u659c\u7387\u986f\u8457\u6027\u5c0f\u65bc0.05\u6642\u6709\u610f\u7fa9\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u6a19\u6e96\u8aa4\u5dee\uff1a\u8ff4\u6b78\u4fc2\u6578\u6a19\u6e96\u8aa4\u5dee\uff0c\u503c\u8d8a\u5927\u8868\u793a\u8ff4\u6b78\u4fc2\u6578\u7684\u4f30\u8a08\u503c\u8d8a\u4e0d\u53ef\u9760\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

t\uff1a\u5c0d\u81ea\u8b8a\u6578\u9032\u884c\u986f\u8457\u6027\u6aa2\u5b9a\uff0c\u4ee5\u78ba\u5b9a\u8b8a\u6578\u662f\u5426\u88ab\u4fdd\u7559\u5728\u6a21\u578b\u4e2d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sig\uff1a\u986f\u8457\u6027\uff0c\u5982\u679c0.01<sig<0.05\uff0c\u70ba\u5dee\u7570\u986f\u8457\uff0c\u5982\u679csig<0.01\uff0c\u5247\u70ba\u5dee\u7570\u6975\u986f\u8457\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\uff08\u4e8c\uff09\u7814\u767c\u4f9d\u64da<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 [1] Robinson, E. (2016). Introduction to Likelihood Statistics. Retrieved April 16, 2021 from: https:\/\/hea-www.harvard.edu\/AstroStat\/aas227_2016\/lecture1_Robinson.pdf<\/p>\n\n\n\n

[2] Kotz, S.; et al., eds. (2006), Encyclopedia of Statistical Sciences, Wiley.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"parent":5647,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","doc_tag":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/support.divominer.com\/zh-tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/docs\/5649"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/support.divominer.com\/zh-tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/docs"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/support.divominer.com\/zh-tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/docs"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/support.divominer.com\/zh-tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5649"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/support.divominer.com\/zh-tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/docs\/5649\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5895,"href":"https:\/\/support.divominer.com\/zh-tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/docs\/5649\/revisions\/5895"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/support.divominer.com\/zh-tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/docs\/5647"}],"next":[{"title":"\u65b0\u5efa\u7dda\u6027\u8ff4\u6b78\u4efb\u52d9","link":"https:\/\/support.divominer.com\/zh-tw\/articles\/docs\/divominer-%e4%bd%bf%e7%94%a8%e6%89%8b%e5%86%8a\/%e9%ab%98%e7%b4%9a%e7%b5%b1%e8%a8%88\/5651-2","href":"https:\/\/support.divominer.com\/zh-tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/docs\/5651"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/support.divominer.com\/zh-tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5649"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"doc_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/support.divominer.com\/zh-tw\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/doc_tag?post=5649"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}